|
Technical
Feasibility and Economic Analysis of
Proposed Sethusamudram Ship Channel Project
by
National
Environmental Engineering Research Institute
Nehru
Marg, Nagpur - 440 020
August
2004
Executive
Summary
Top
Introduction
India does not have a continuous navigable route
around the peninsula running within her own territorial waters due
to presence of a shallow reef called “Adam’s Bridge” at
Pamban where the navigable depth is only about 3m. Hence all the
ships from west to east and from Tuticorin Port to the east have
to go round Sri Lanka entailing an additional distance of more
than 254-424 nautical miles and 21-36 hours of sailing time.
The proposal for providing a navigable route has
been drawing the attention of the Government of India for a long
time. The first proposal was mooted during 1890 and nine proposals
were formulated between 1890 and 1922 for dredging a canal across
the narrow strip of land mostly through the Rameswaram island to
connect the Gulf of Mannar with Palk Bay. However, after 1922 the
proposal was dormant for a long time till the country attained
independence.

After
independence, five proposals were drawn up for the development of
Sethusamudram Ship Canal Project during different times. The
recent one being by M/s. Pallavan Transport Consultancy Services
Ltd., Chennai during 1996. The index plan is shown in the
figure.
The Ministry of Shipping, Government of India has now
identified the Tuticorin Port Trust as the nodal agency for the
implementation of the Sethusamudram Ship Canal Project. The
Tuticorin Port Trust has retained National Environmental
Engineering Research Institute (NEERI), Nagpur to conduct the
Environmental Impact Assessment study for the project. The
institute in its EIA study dispensed with idea of a canal through
Pamban island and suggested a channel linking Palkbay and Gulf of
Mannar through Adams bridge. It also recommended creation of
additional depth in Palk Bay/Strait to create channel connecting
Palk Strait with Bay of Bengal. This report addresses technical
feasibility and economic analysis of proposed Sethusamudram
Ship
Channel Project.
Top
Present
Proposal
All
the earlier proposals selected the route, particularly in the Gulf
of Mannar area passing through Mandapam / Rameswaram etc.
involving the dredging of a canal mainly through the land portion.
These alignments were so selected as to optimize the cost of
dredging. An analysis of the earlier proposals reveal that with
each proposal, the canal was shifted eastwards mainly due
to the apprehensions of the local population. The report prepared
by NEERI in 1998 had considered modification in route proposed by
steering committee. However due to apprehension that route around
Dhanushkodi might require to cut through Coral reef, the route
suggested by steering committee was considered the best choice.
The
Environmental Impact Assessment Study carried out by NEERI has
revealed that, in view of the sensitivity along the coastal
stretch of Gulf of Mannar harbouring Marine National Park, a
navigation route keeping a minimum distance of 6 to 8 km from Van
Tiu near Tuticorin and more than 20 km from Shingle Island in
Adam’s Bridge approach area is the most suitable one. The
alignment of the proposed channel is shown in Fig. 2 which
also shows earlier selected routes. The recent hydrography/
hydrogeology study in Adam’s Bridge area indicated that
sub-bottom profiles comprise soft and hard sand and not the coral
reef as envisaged earlier. The bore hole data is shown in Fig.
3.

The
proposed Sethusamudram Ship Channel will have following two legs :
·
one near Point Calimere called the Bay of Bengal channel
and
·
the other across the Adam’s Bridge
The
Bay of Bengal channel traverses the Pak Bay wherein the sea bed is
reported to be mostly soft to hard clayey - sand in nature.
However presence of hard strata below the soft sediment is
envisaged in data collected by National Hydrographic Office (NHO),
Dehradun. The present proposal envisaged creation of navigation
channel to suit different draught requirement viz. 9.15, 10.7 and
12.8 m requiring dredging depths of 10 m, 12 m and 14 m
respectively. For 12.8 m draught channel width will be 500 m
whereas for 9.15 and 10.7 m draughts, channel width will be 300
m.
Based
on hydrography data collected by NHO (Fig. 4) it is
observed that navigation depths in Palk Bay are restricted to
about 12 m only. The total length from Adam’s Bridge to Palk
Strait is about 145 km. In the event of proposal for 12.8 m
draught requiring 14 m depth, dredging will require to be carried
out in entire Palk Bay area to create a channel of 500 m width
generating huge additional dredge spoil of about 170-180 million m3.
Dredging all along the length of the channel in Palk Bay will be
detrimental to ecologically sensitive area of this region. It
would also involve heavy additional expenditure on dredging and
disposal of dredge spoil. Thus keeping in view environmental
sensitivity and economic viability the proposal for 14 m depth
(12.8 m draught) is not evaluated. Thus channel depth of only 10 m
and 12 m are considered for economic evaluation. The channel will
be dredged with a bottom width of 300m to a depth of -10mCD or
-12mCD in Palk Strait and adjoining parts of Palk Bay to achieve
the required depth over a stretch of 36 and 18km respectively. In
the Gulf of Mannar, navigational depths (more than 12 m) will be
used from Tuticorin Port to Adam’s Bridge Area. A 20 km long
channel with a bed width of 300 m. will be dredged to a depth of
-10mCD or -12 mCD catering to vessels drawing a draught of 9.15 or
10.7m respectively. Proposed alignment of channel is shown in Fig.
5. Stretch requiring dredging is given in Table 1
| Section
(See Fig. 5) |
Length
in km |
|
A-B |
6.0 |
|
B-C |
14.0 |
|
* C-D |
38.0 |
|
* D-E |
40.0 |
|
E-E1 |
14.6 |
|
E1-E2 |
19.8 |
|
E2-E3 |
14.4 |
|
E3-E4 |
5.4 |
| Total |
152.2 |
Table
1
actual
dredging requirements are calculated in Table 2.
Table
2
Dredging
Requirement
Quantity
of Dredged Material for 10m depth (9.15m draught) and 300m width
Channel
Quantity
: Million Cu.M
| Section |
Bed
Width Quantity |
Slope
Quantity |
Tolerance
Quantity |
Total
Quantity |
| Adam's
Bridge |
|
A-B (CSD) |
7.0 |
0.70 |
- |
7.70 |
|
A-B (TSHD) |
3.9 |
0.39 |
0.60 |
4.89 say 4.9 |
|
B-C (TSHD) |
9.6 |
0.96 |
1.3 |
11.86 say
11.9 |
| |
Total |
|
|
24.45 say
24.5 |
| Palk Strait |
|
|
|
|
|
E1-E2 |
2.4 |
0.24 |
1.79 |
4.43 say 4.45 |
|
E2-E3 |
8.2 |
0.82 |
1.29 |
10.31 say
10.35 |
| |
Total |
|
|
14.75 say
14.80 |
Quantity
of Dredged Material for 12m depth (10.7m draught) and 300m width
Channel
Quantity
: Million Cu.M
| Section |
Bed
Width Quantity |
Slope
Quantity |
Tolerance
Quantity |
Total
Quantity |
| Adam's
Bridge |
|
A-B (CSD) |
7.0 |
0.70 |
- |
7.70 |
|
A-B (TSHD) |
7.5 |
0.75 |
0.60 |
8.85 say 8.9 |
|
B-C (TSHD) |
18 |
1.80 |
1.3 |
21.1 |
| |
Total |
|
|
37.7 say 38 |
| Palk Strait |
|
|
|
|
|
E-E1 |
1.72 |
0.17 |
1.29 |
3.18 say 3.2 |
|
E1-E2 |
14.25 |
1.43 |
1.79 |
17.46 say 17.5 |
|
E2-E3 |
16.84 |
1.68 |
1.29 |
19.81 say 19.8 |
|
E3-E4 |
2.43 |
0.24 |
0.49 |
3.16 say 3.2 |
| |
Total |
|
|
43.7 say 44 |
CSD
:
Cutter Suction Dredger
TSHD
:
Trailor Suction Hopper Dredger
Top
Provisions
in the Present Proposal
Though
option for both 9.15 m and 10.7 m draught were evaluated, study
carried out by shipping corporation of India for estimating
traffic potential at 7, 9 and 11 draught recommended that a
minimum draught of 10.7 m be kept to make channel viable. The
savings based on expected number of transits through proposed
channel for various considered draught is given in Table 3.
Table
3
Expected
number of transits through the Sethusamudram Channel
Rs.
in Crores
|
Cargo |
7m
draught |
9m
draught |
11m
draught |
| Transits
Per year |
Savings
(Rs) |
Transits
Per year |
Savings
(Rs) |
Transits
Per year |
Savings
(Rs) |
|
POL &
Specialized Cargo |
282 |
39.39 |
366 |
51.97 |
522 |
75.75 |
| Dry
Bulk Cargo |
120 |
11.92 |
120 |
11.92 |
120 |
11.92 |
| General
Cargo |
1306 |
16.82 |
1306 |
16.82 |
1362 |
19.81 |
| Total |
1708 |
68.13 |
1762 |
80.71 |
2004 |
107.48 |
The
proposed channel will have a bed width of 300m which will provide
a safe width for navigation of two way channel. The channel will
have side slopes of 1:3.
A
Control Station equipped with VTMS is proposed to be located at
Rameshwaram Island between Dhanushkodi and Koil Nagar villages
with an additional Control Station near Point Calimere.
Provision
has been made for necessary navigational aids which include
lighted Fairway Buoys, Channel Marker Buoys, Racons etc. to assist
navigation round the clock.
Provision
has also been made for necessary flotilla to assist navigation
consisting of tugs, pilot launches, survey launches, buoy laying
tender etc.
Top
Estimated
Cost
The
cost estimates have been worked out for both 9.15 and 10.7 m
draught. It was observed that estimated cost of project for 9.15 m draught
(10 m depth) is Rs. 1050 crores with dredging costs of about Rs.779 crores.
However estimated costs for 12 m deep channel is Rs. 2000 crores
with dredging costs of around Rs. 1680 crores. The capital
investment is to be done in 4 years. The cost estimates are given
in Tables 4 and 5 for 10 m and 12 m depth channel
respectively.
Table
4
Capital
Cost for 10m Depth and 300 m Width Channel
| Sl.No |
Description
of Work |
Quantity
million cum |
Rate
Rs/Cum |
Amount
in Rs. lakhs |
| 1 |
Preliminary
expenses including model studies hydrographic survey, land
survey etc. at 1% of total cost |
- |
L.S |
988 |
| 2 |
Cost of land
acquisition |
- |
L.S |
100 |
| 3 |
Dredging |
|
|
|
| |
i.
Mobilization and de-mobilization charges at 5% |
|
|
3685 |
| |
ii.
Dredging in Palk Bay by TSHD |
|
|
|
| |
- Section E1 - E2 |
4.45 |
250 |
11,125 |
| |
- Section E2 - E3 |
10.35 |
210 |
21,735 |
| |
iii.
Dredging in Adam's Bridge |
|
|
|
| |
- A-B (CSD) |
7.7 |
225 |
17,325 |
| |
- A-B (TSHD) |
4.9 |
140 |
6,860 |
| |
- B-C (TSHD) |
11.9 |
140 |
16,660 |
| |
iv.
Construction of Reclamation |
|
|
510 |
| |
Sub total of dredging
costs |
|
|
77900 |
| |
Sub total
(1+2+3) |
|
|
78988 |
| 4. |
Navigational
Aids |
|
|
|
| |
i. Fairway buoy |
2 |
15
lakhs |
30 |
| |
ii. Channel
Marker buoy |
115 |
10
lakhs |
1150 |
| |
iii. Racons |
2 |
10
lakhs |
20 |
| |
iv.
Vessel Traffic Management System |
1 |
L.S |
1000 |
| 5. |
Flotilla |
|
|
|
| |
i. Harbour
Tugs - 30 t bollard pull |
4 |
2000
lakhs |
8000 |
| |
ii. Pilot
Launches - 30 m |
3 |
100
lakhs |
300 |
| |
iii.Mooring
Launches - 10m |
3 |
40
lakhs |
120 |
| |
iv.
Survey cum lighting launch |
1 |
150
lakhs |
150 |
| |
v.
Dispatch vessels with buoy laying arrangement |
1 |
300
lakhs |
300 |
| 6. |
Service
Jetties |
2 |
750
lakhs |
1500 |
| 7. |
Slip way |
1 |
L.S |
200 |
| 8. |
Buoy Yard |
- |
L.S |
100 |
| 9. |
Repair
Workshop |
- |
L.S |
200 |
| 10. |
Staff and
Administrative Building |
- |
L.S |
2000 |
| 11. |
Electricity |
- |
L.S. |
500 |
| 12. |
Water
Supply |
- |
L.S. |
200 |
| |
Sub
Total |
|
|
94758 |
| 13. |
Consultancy |
- |
L.S |
5000 |
| 14. |
Contingency and
Supervision at 5% |
- |
L.S. |
5242 |
| |
Total |
|
|
105,000
* |
*
Dredging costs will increase if blasting is required to be done in
Palk Strait area to achieve desired depth L.S. : Lump Sum
* Upward revision in total cost is envisaged if there is change
in dredging costs
L.S. : Lump Sum
Table
5
Capital
Cost for 12m Depth and 300 m Width Channel
| Sl.No |
Description
of Work |
Quantity
million cum |
Rate
Rs/Cum |
Amount
in Rs. lakhs |
| 1 |
Preliminary
expenses including model studies hydrographic survey, land
survey etc. at 1% of total cost |
- |
L.S |
1839 |
| 2 |
Cost of land
acquisition |
- |
L.S |
100 |
| 3 |
Dredging |
|
|
|
| |
i.
Mobilization and de-mobilization charges at 5% |
|
|
7976 |
| |
ii.
Dredging in Palk Bay by TSHD |
|
|
|
| |
- Section E - E1 |
3.2 |
290 |
9,280 |
| |
- Section E1 - E2 |
17.5 |
250 |
43,750 |
| |
- Section E2 - E3 |
19.8 |
210 |
41,580 |
| |
- Section E3 - E4 |
3.2 |
175 |
5,600 |
| |
iii.
Dredging in Adam's Bridge |
|
|
|
| |
- A-B (CSD) |
7.7 |
225 |
17,325 |
| |
- A-B (TSHD) |
8.9 |
140 |
12,460 |
| |
- B-C (TSHD) |
21.1 |
140 |
29,540 |
| |
iv.
Construction of Reclamation |
|
|
489 |
| |
Sub total of dredging
costs |
|
|
168000* |
| |
Sub total
(1+2+3) |
|
|
169939 |
| 4. |
Navigational
Aids |
|
|
|
| |
i. Fairway buoy |
2 |
15
lakhs |
30 |
| |
ii. Channel
Marker buoy |
125 |
10
lakhs |
1250 |
| |
iii. Racons |
2 |
10
lakhs |
20 |
| |
iv.
Vessel Traffic Management System |
1 |
L.S |
1000 |
| 5. |
Flotilla |
|
|
|
| |
i. Harbour
Tugs - 30 t bollard pull |
4 |
2000
lakhs |
8000 |
| |
ii. Pilot
Launches - 30 m |
3 |
100
lakhs |
300 |
| |
iii.Mooring
Launches - 10m |
3 |
40
lakhs |
120 |
| |
iv.
Survey cum lighting launch |
1 |
150
lakhs |
150 |
| |
v.
Dispatch vessels with buoy laying arrangement |
1 |
300
lakhs |
300 |
| 6. |
Service
Jetties |
2 |
750
lakhs |
1500 |
| 7. |
Slip way |
1 |
L.S |
200 |
| 8. |
Buoy Yard |
- |
L.S |
100 |
| 9. |
Repair
Workshop |
- |
L.S |
200 |
| 10. |
Staff and
Administrative Building |
- |
L.S |
2000 |
| 11. |
Electricity |
- |
L.S. |
500 |
| 12. |
Water
Supply |
- |
L.S. |
200 |
| |
Sub
Total |
|
|
185809 |
| 13. |
Consultancy |
- |
L.S |
5000 |
| 14. |
Contingency and
Supervision at 5% |
- |
L.S. |
9191 |
| |
Total |
|
|
200,000
* |
*
Dredging costs will increase if blasting is required to be done in
Palk Strait area to achieve desired depth L.S. : Lump Sum
* Upward revision in total cost is envisaged if there is change
in dredging costs
L.S. : Lump Sum
The
costs may face upward revision as it has been observed that in
more than 50% of the dredging contract there has been very large
cost overruns mainly due to poor soil investigation.
Investigations carried out in this study are based on sub-bottom
profile except for three borings in Adam’s Bridge and there is
apprehension that hard strata will be encountered in Palk Bay/Palk
Strait area. If bottom strata turn out to be rock, the dredging
costs will change drastically, as blasting might be required.
Cost
of maintenance dredging for 12 m depth channel will be Rs. 550
lakhs per annum and annual operation and maintenance cost will be
Rs. 1500 lakhs. The break up is shown in Table 6.
Table
6
Annual
Operation and Maintenance Cost
| Sl. No |
Head of Account |
Amount (Rs.Lakhs) |
|
1 |
Administration
and Accounts Staff |
800 |
|
2 |
Marine Staff |
100 |
|
3. |
Cost of
Maintenance Dredging |
550 |
|
4. |
Maintenance of
Building and Structuring |
40 |
|
5 |
Other
Miscellaneous expenses |
10 |
| |
Total |
1500 |
Top
Cost
Benefits
The
summary of benefits due to proposed channel is given below :
Direct
Benefits
The
direct benefits are
-
to the canal authority
-
to the shipping company
-
the channel will give
sheltered water route from the western ports to the eastern
ports
-
Average time saved per voyage is 25 hours (average saving in
distance 300 nautical miles and speed assumed as 12 knots)
-
Average amount saved per voyage is Rs. 5.36 lakhs (2003)
Indirect
Benefits
Some
of the Indirect benefits are:
-
The channel would save 25 hours of voyage and due to the lower
consumption of fuel, there will be considerable savings of
foreign exchange.
-
The ships transporting coal between Tuticorin and Haldia
normally take 4 days and the saving of 25 hours per voyage
translates into 20% of the voyage time and in turn can make
20% more trips.
-
The channel will be of very
great importance from national defense and security point of
view. The revenue
from naval and coastal traffic will go up adding to indirect
benefit
Top
Economic
Viability
Based
on the NPV method of appraisal, the following internal rate of
return are obtained.
| With revenue and
expenditure constant |
Negative |
| With revenue and
expenditure increasing 5% annually |
+5% |
| With Revenue
increasing by 10% and expenditure increasing 5 % |
+10% |
Taking
into account an interest rate of 9% per annum on the capital
employed on the basis of the rate of government lending to ports,
the project starts having surplus from 19th year of its
operation as per the Cash Flow statement. The Project will have a
cumulative surplus of Rs. 3,138 crores at the end of 25th
year after commissioning of 12 m deep channel as shown in Table
7.
Table
7
Sethusamudram
Ship Channel Project
Cash Flow Statement
|
Cash
Flow
(All values are in Rs. Lakhs)
|
|
Year
|
Capital
|
| |